← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.72+9.83vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.95+7.83vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.22+5.74vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.39+3.88vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.82+5.39vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.84+4.41vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.09+2.51vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.09+1.07vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College2.69+1.92vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University3.43-2.36vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.56vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.24-3.29vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-4.83vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University2.90-4.01vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania3.12-5.90vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia0.39+2.24vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-5.66vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin1.09-1.02vs Predicted
-
19Roger Williams University2.73-8.20vs Predicted
-
20Hampton University2.26-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.83George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
-
9.83Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
-
8.74U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
-
7.88Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
10.39Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.41Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
-
9.51Dartmouth College3.090.0%1st Place
-
9.07College of Charleston3.090.0%1st Place
-
10.92SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
7.64Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
8.71Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
8.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
9.99Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
-
9.1University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
-
18.24University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
-
11.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
-
16.98University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
-
10.8Roger Williams University2.730.0%1st Place
-
13.01Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| William Logue | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dane Byerly | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 18.0% | 58.9% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Miller | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 31.0% | 28.2% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.