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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.69+10.00vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.95+7.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.22+5.79vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.90+6.05vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.26vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.72+5.01vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43+0.90vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.37vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-1.26vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.82+0.45vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.24-2.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-0.23vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.09-3.44vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.09-4.89vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.09+1.73vs Predicted
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16Hampton University2.26-3.17vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.39+1.33vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.84-7.60vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.73-8.18vs Predicted
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20University of Pennsylvania3.12-10.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.0SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.82Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.05Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.01George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.9Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.45Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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9.11College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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16.73University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
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12.83Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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18.33University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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10.4Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.82Roger Williams University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Dane Byerly | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Paris Henken | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Miller | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 30.9% | 26.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 2.9% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 17.2% | 59.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.