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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+8.50vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.87vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+4.51vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.09+4.68vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.09+3.87vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.72+4.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.22+1.11vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.73+2.42vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84+0.50vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-2.14vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-3.70vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.12-3.18vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.88vs Predicted
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14Hampton University2.26-1.68vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-4.37vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.95-6.88vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.82-7.15vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.09-1.88vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia0.39-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.51Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.15George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.42Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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9.5Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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10.12SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.32Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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9.12Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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9.85Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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16.12University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
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17.25University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Dane Byerly | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Miller | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 29.9% | 28.0% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.