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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+6.87vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+7.50vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+4.02vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+7.49vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+1.38vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.95+2.31vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.68vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84+0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.12-1.61vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-2.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.22-3.66vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.72-2.99vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.82-4.10vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.09-6.40vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.73-5.92vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.39+0.41vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-7.30vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.09-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.5Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.49Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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7.38Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.31Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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10.68SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.5Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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8.61College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.01George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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9.9Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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10.08Roger Williams University2.730.0%1st Place
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17.41University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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15.77University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Byerly | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 4.2% |
| William Logue | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Paris Henken | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 15.3% | 61.7% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Miller | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 31.9% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.