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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.22+6.91vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.22vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+6.61vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.69+6.22vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.95+4.32vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+1.64vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.09+1.52vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26+4.13vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-1.92vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-1.65vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.72-0.93vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.82-1.92vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90-3.98vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.73-3.86vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-1.31vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.09-0.21vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.24-9.16vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.39-0.57vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania3.12-11.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.22SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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12.13Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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7.08Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.35College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.07George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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10.08Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.02Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.14Roger Williams University2.730.0%1st Place
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13.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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15.79University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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17.43University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hogan | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Dane Byerly | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| William Logue | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Devin Keister | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 9.9% |
| Zachary Miller | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 28.4% | 24.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 18.7% | 56.7% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.