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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+6.39vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.82vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.45vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+8.21vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.84+4.99vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.23vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.09+1.66vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.22+0.33vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.24-1.16vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.72+0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.12-2.51vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-0.79vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.09-4.61vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.95-4.64vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.82-5.29vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.090.00vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.73-6.83vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.90-8.68vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia0.39-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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12.21Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.99Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.23SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.16George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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8.39College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.36Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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9.71Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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16.0University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
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10.17Roger Williams University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.32Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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17.27University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Dane Byerly | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Miller | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 31.6% | 27.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 19.2% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.