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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.88+4.17vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19+2.42vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.80+1.81vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.20+2.63vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.62+3.72vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.01-1.37vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.21-0.58vs Predicted
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8Washington University0.67-2.88vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.71-0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.17-2.21vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.85+0.62vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-0.57-3.25vs Predicted
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13Hope College-0.31-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17University of Saint Thomas0.8811.8%1st Place
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4.42Indiana University1.1914.3%1st Place
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4.81Purdue University0.8014.1%1st Place
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6.63Northwestern University0.207.1%1st Place
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8.72Lake Forest College-0.623.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Chicago1.0113.7%1st Place
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6.42Marquette University0.217.8%1st Place
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5.12Washington University0.6712.6%1st Place
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8.93Michigan State University-0.713.5%1st Place
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7.79University of Michigan-0.174.2%1st Place
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11.62Northwestern University-1.850.7%1st Place
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8.75University of Wisconsin-0.572.9%1st Place
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8.0Hope College-0.314.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nithya Balachander | 14.3% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Childers | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Crowell | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 9.1% |
| Max Zhalilo | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Wyatt Tait | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 10.9% |
| John McCalmont | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 3.0% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 58.9% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 8.8% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.