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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+6.33vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+5.11vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.69+6.42vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+2.65vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.09+2.64vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.22+1.12vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.72+2.50vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.82+0.59vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.95-0.93vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-1.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-0.82vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.09-4.63vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.84-4.19vs Predicted
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15Hampton University2.26-3.01vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.73-5.93vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.12-8.53vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.09-1.89vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia0.39-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.42SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.65Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.5George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.59Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.07Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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8.37College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.81Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.99Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.07Roger Williams University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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16.11University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
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17.29University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 6.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dane Byerly | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| William Logue | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Paris Henken | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Miller | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 28.2% | 28.0% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 16.3% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.