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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.69+9.38vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.09+5.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+3.31vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+1.80vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39+0.43vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.72+2.48vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84+0.50vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.73+0.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-0.23vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.82-1.81vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.26-1.05vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-4.43vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.09-6.43vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.95-6.95vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.09-1.06vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania3.12-9.61vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia0.39-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.38SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.43Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.48George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.5Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.17Roger Williams University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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10.19Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.95Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.57Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.57College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.05Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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15.94University of Wisconsin1.090.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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17.29University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.0% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Dane Byerly | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Logue | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Paris Henken | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Miller | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 27.7% | 30.2% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 20.4% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.