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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+4.50vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.00vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.85+5.94vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.40+2.94vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.10vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.19+1.81vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14+0.96vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+0.13vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.93vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University0.53+2.31vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-2.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.42-6.16vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.96-5.34vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-6.70vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.22-1.06vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-5.50vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University0.02-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.94Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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6.94Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.1SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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7.81Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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7.96Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.13Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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13.31Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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8.66Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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8.3SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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14.94SUNY Stony Brook-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.5Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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14.61Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matti Muru | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 22.6% | 13.4% |
| Luke Welker | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| James Morgan | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Donald Leung | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 21.3% | 43.8% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 26.0% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.