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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+4.53vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.40+4.83vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.05+5.21vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.18vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.96+3.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.11vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.19+0.72vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+0.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.42-1.94vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.85-1.16vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-2.87vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.44vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-6.00vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.22-0.07vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University0.53-2.64vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University0.02-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.83Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.21SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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6.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.41Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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8.07Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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8.84Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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6.47SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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11.56Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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8.0Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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14.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.220.0%1st Place
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13.36Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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14.61Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 14.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lola Bushnell | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matti Muru | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Welker | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Donald Leung | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 11.0% | 22.1% | 43.3% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 14.2% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 26.0% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.