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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.40+5.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.42+4.81vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+2.71vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.96+4.57vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14+2.78vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+2.20vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+0.08vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.59vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.05-1.93vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.85-1.89vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.88vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.19-5.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.99vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.02-0.54vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.22-1.91vs Predicted
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18Monmouth University0.53-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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5.71Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.57Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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7.78Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.43SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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8.08Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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11.59Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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8.07SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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9.11Queen's University1.850.1%1st Place
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6.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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14.46Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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15.09SUNY Stony Brook-0.220.0%1st Place
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13.35Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Hersam | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Morgan | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Welker | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 4.6% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Matti Muru | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 25.8% | 32.1% |
| Donald Leung | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 23.7% | 43.3% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 21.2% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.