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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+4.55vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.05+6.09vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.40+3.90vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.19+3.75vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.12vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+2.44vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.93vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14-0.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-1.94vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.42-4.99vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University0.53+0.31vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.44vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.85-5.88vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.96-7.49vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University0.02-2.38vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.22-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.09SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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6.9Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.75Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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6.12SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.44Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.77Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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13.31Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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11.56Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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9.12Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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8.51Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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14.62Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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15.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Hersam | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Luke Welker | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| James Morgan | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 22.4% | 15.9% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 4.7% |
| Matti Muru | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Vir Menon | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 13.7% | 25.6% | 32.4% |
| Donald Leung | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 21.8% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.