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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+5.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.42+4.78vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+2.68vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.18vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04+3.12vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14+2.10vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.85+2.00vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.96+0.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+0.40vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.19-3.45vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.40-4.90vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.05-4.83vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.96vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University0.53-1.59vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-4.57vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University0.02-2.44vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.22-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.12Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.1Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.0Queen's University1.850.1%1st Place
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8.29Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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7.55Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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7.1Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.17SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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13.41Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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11.43Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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14.56Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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15.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Matti Muru | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Vir Menon | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Luke Welker | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Tucker Hersam | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 22.4% | 16.6% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 4.6% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 24.9% | 32.3% |
| Donald Leung | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 23.6% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.