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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.40+5.78vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.96+6.44vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+2.69vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.42+2.92vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.19+2.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+3.39vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+1.29vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University0.53+5.07vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.59vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-3.22vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.61vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.85vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.14-6.00vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.22+0.07vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-4.53vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University0.02-2.43vs Predicted
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18Queen's University1.85-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.44Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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7.51Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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8.29Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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13.07Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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6.41SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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7.78Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.39SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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6.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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15.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.47Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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14.57Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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9.07Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Hersam | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Luke Welker | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Grace Howie | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 21.7% | 14.8% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 9.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Donald Leung | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 22.1% | 45.5% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 13.9% | 25.6% | 31.8% |
| Matti Muru | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.