Race 2A

rebecca-becky-blank

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brian Zettlemoyer 6.7% 7.1% 8.2% 8.7% 9.7% 10.1% 8.8% 9.3% 10.1% 8.5% 7.0% 4.7% 1.1%
Sam Childers 13.0% 13.0% 11.7% 11.0% 11.1% 9.3% 10.5% 7.8% 6.5% 2.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Greg Bittle 11.9% 12.0% 12.6% 9.9% 10.1% 10.1% 9.4% 7.8% 7.7% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Max Zhalilo 14.5% 13.5% 12.4% 13.4% 11.7% 8.7% 8.1% 7.3% 4.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Nithya Balachander 15.2% 14.4% 14.5% 12.6% 9.8% 9.6% 8.8% 7.0% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Andrea Casagrande Caron 3.4% 3.2% 3.5% 4.7% 5.0% 4.5% 6.9% 8.1% 9.6% 11.5% 13.8% 15.8% 10.2%
Wyatt Tait 12.4% 12.2% 10.9% 10.8% 10.7% 10.8% 9.2% 7.0% 6.0% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2%
John McCalmont 4.5% 4.5% 5.3% 6.9% 6.6% 7.8% 7.6% 11.2% 10.6% 9.6% 11.4% 10.0% 4.0%
Phoebe Milhollin 3.1% 3.6% 3.2% 3.5% 4.1% 6.0% 7.1% 8.0% 9.7% 9.9% 14.5% 16.8% 10.4%
Caroline Henry 5.0% 4.5% 4.0% 5.3% 6.6% 5.9% 6.8% 8.2% 10.1% 13.4% 12.2% 12.5% 5.7%
Charles Crowell 7.1% 8.0% 7.6% 8.5% 8.9% 10.2% 8.4% 8.6% 9.2% 10.7% 6.8% 5.2% 0.9%
Sean Bascoe 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 3.5% 5.1% 8.2% 14.2% 56.2%
Joey Skerbeck 2.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.7% 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 12.6% 15.7% 17.0% 10.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.