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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+3.87vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.44+6.64vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.73+4.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+4.36vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.25+0.74vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-0.46vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.67+0.88vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.50-2.96vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91-1.76vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.63vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+0.33vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.99-1.73vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.90vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University0.36-1.54vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.89-7.87vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University0.10-2.85vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-1.26-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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8.64SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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5.74Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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5.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
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7.88Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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5.04U. S. Naval Academy2.500.2%1st Place
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7.24Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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10.63SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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11.33Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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10.27Queen's University0.990.0%1st Place
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11.1SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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12.46Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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7.13Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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13.15Georgetown University0.100.0%1st Place
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15.92Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 15.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Marley Mais | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 9.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 4.0% |
| Josh Yale | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| James Gilmore III | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 6.9% |
| Spencer Charney | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gretchen McCarthy | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 22.5% | 11.1% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.