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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+6.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.71vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+2.25vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+2.92vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.25+0.61vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+1.65vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.67+0.75vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.99+1.95vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.50-3.89vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.80+0.73vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.07vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University0.10+0.95vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University0.36-0.72vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-2.79vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.69-7.38vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.90-6.47vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-1.26-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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5.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
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6.92Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.61Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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7.65Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.75Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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9.95Queen's University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.11U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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10.73Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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10.93SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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12.95Georgetown University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.28Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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11.21Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.62SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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10.53SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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15.84Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Krzeszowski | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 14.9% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marley Mais | 12.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Josh Yale | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| James Gilmore III | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Gretchen McCarthy | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 24.2% | 10.7% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 8.6% |
| Townsend Morey | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 2.9% |
| Hunter Kahler | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.