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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+6.93vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+4.77vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.67+4.68vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+1.40vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.25+0.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.50-2.03vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73-0.62vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.64vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.69-2.42vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University0.10+2.02vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.80-1.25vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.99-3.73vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-3.86vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University0.36-3.82vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.79-6.09vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-1.26-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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6.77Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.68Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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5.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
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5.62Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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7.38Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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10.64SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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7.58SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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13.02Georgetown University0.100.0%1st Place
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10.75Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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10.27Queen's University0.990.0%1st Place
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11.14Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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12.18Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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10.91SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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15.85Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Krzeszowski | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Scott McKenzie | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marley Mais | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 13.5% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 12.9% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Hunter Kahler | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Gretchen McCarthy | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 24.2% | 12.2% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Josh Yale | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Townsend Morey | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 3.1% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 1.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 6.9% |
| James Gilmore III | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 12.8% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.