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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.25+4.60vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+3.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+5.04vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.67+3.67vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+5.23vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.89+1.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.30vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73-0.67vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University0.10+4.03vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.50-5.10vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.51-2.70vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.99-1.99vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.14vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University0.36-1.76vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.26+0.64vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology0.11-3.09vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.18-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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5.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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7.67Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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10.23SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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7.04Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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7.33Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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13.03Georgetown University0.100.0%1st Place
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4.9U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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10.01Queen's University0.990.0%1st Place
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10.86SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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12.24Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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15.64Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.91Stevens Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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9.41SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marley Mais | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Scott McKenzie | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Spencer Charney | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 15.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gretchen McCarthy | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 11.5% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 14.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Josh Yale | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| James Gilmore III | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 7.3% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 63.1% |
| Lauren Zelenak | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 9.8% |
| William Sesack | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.