← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University1.89+5.76vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.67+5.56vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.25+2.64vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+6.39vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+2.79vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.73+1.57vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-1.82vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.50-3.10vs Predicted
-
9Queen's University0.99+1.18vs Predicted
-
10Monmouth University0.36+2.04vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.56-6.13vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College1.18-2.66vs Predicted
-
13Stevens Institute of Technology0.11-0.07vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Stony Brook0.79-4.10vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University1.51-7.85vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University0.10-4.02vs Predicted
-
18Syracuse University-1.26-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.76Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
-
7.56Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
-
5.64Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
-
10.39SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
-
7.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
-
7.57Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
-
5.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
-
4.9U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
10.18Queen's University0.990.0%1st Place
-
12.04Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
-
4.87U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
-
9.34SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
-
12.93Stevens Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
-
10.9SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
-
8.15Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
-
12.98Georgetown University0.100.0%1st Place
-
15.81Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Charney | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marley Mais | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 1.1% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 14.6% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Yale | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 5.8% |
| Brittney Slook | 15.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Sesack | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Zelenak | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 12.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Gretchen McCarthy | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 10.5% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.