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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Maggie Royal 6.0% 6.6% 8.5% 10.0% 11.8% 11.7% 15.0% 14.9% 13.0% 2.5%
Abbie Probst 8.4% 7.4% 10.6% 12.5% 12.2% 14.5% 12.8% 12.3% 7.9% 1.4%
Ashlyn Park 4.4% 4.4% 5.9% 7.9% 9.1% 10.5% 15.2% 17.6% 19.8% 5.2%
Kara Wheeler 7.9% 9.0% 13.2% 12.0% 14.2% 14.1% 13.0% 10.0% 5.5% 1.1%
Sarah DeLoach 8.3% 9.2% 10.0% 13.3% 12.7% 13.7% 14.2% 10.9% 6.0% 1.7%
Nicole Simon 31.9% 25.0% 17.2% 12.0% 8.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Paula Resto 21.8% 24.5% 17.0% 15.2% 10.4% 7.1% 2.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Allison Chenard 7.8% 11.2% 12.4% 11.8% 13.0% 14.7% 11.2% 11.1% 6.0% 0.8%
Natalie Jones 3.0% 2.5% 4.0% 4.4% 6.7% 7.4% 11.9% 16.6% 30.0% 13.5%
Natalie Lovelace 0.5% 0.2% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 4.7% 11.1% 73.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.