Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sam Childers 12.8% 13.3% 12.9% 11.5% 10.8% 10.8% 8.9% 7.3% 5.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Brian Zettlemoyer 6.6% 7.6% 8.2% 9.0% 8.6% 7.9% 9.2% 10.0% 10.0% 9.1% 7.0% 4.9% 1.8%
Greg Bittle 12.6% 12.0% 12.4% 9.8% 10.5% 10.4% 9.4% 7.6% 6.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Max Zhalilo 14.1% 14.1% 12.4% 13.2% 11.2% 9.4% 8.5% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Caroline Henry 4.5% 4.9% 5.4% 5.7% 5.7% 6.9% 6.8% 10.0% 9.4% 11.7% 13.9% 10.5% 4.7%
Nithya Balachander 15.6% 14.0% 13.7% 12.2% 11.7% 8.6% 8.8% 6.2% 4.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Charles Crowell 7.3% 6.2% 7.6% 6.7% 9.8% 9.8% 8.9% 10.3% 11.4% 9.2% 7.3% 4.5% 0.9%
Wyatt Tait 11.8% 12.3% 9.8% 11.7% 10.8% 9.4% 10.2% 7.7% 7.0% 5.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Phoebe Milhollin 3.4% 4.0% 3.9% 4.3% 3.5% 6.5% 5.9% 8.2% 9.2% 10.7% 13.3% 17.2% 9.9%
John McCalmont 4.8% 5.2% 4.6% 6.3% 6.9% 7.0% 7.8% 8.9% 11.5% 12.0% 12.0% 8.9% 4.0%
Andrea Casagrande Caron 2.5% 2.9% 4.4% 4.2% 5.3% 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 8.5% 11.4% 14.1% 17.0% 9.6%
Joey Skerbeck 3.4% 2.3% 4.0% 3.9% 3.9% 5.4% 6.7% 7.6% 8.4% 10.9% 13.9% 18.1% 11.6%
Sean Bascoe 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 2.6% 2.8% 5.7% 8.0% 15.2% 56.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.