Race 1B

saisa-maisa-sailpack-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Megan Ploch 9.0% 17.0% 14.9% 15.8% 14.0% 11.4% 9.3% 5.2% 2.6% 0.8%
Carly Pedron 4.7% 5.5% 7.3% 11.4% 11.2% 13.0% 15.6% 14.7% 10.6% 6.0%
Mia Porter 11.3% 17.1% 19.7% 16.0% 14.5% 10.6% 6.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Marian Frances Williams 53.6% 28.0% 12.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 7.8% 11.3% 14.4% 17.1% 14.8% 14.0% 9.2% 7.1% 3.1% 1.2%
Keara Paquette 6.5% 9.0% 9.5% 12.4% 15.2% 14.2% 13.8% 9.6% 7.7% 2.1%
Katrina Bauermeister 2.2% 3.6% 8.1% 8.1% 10.5% 12.0% 15.5% 16.2% 16.4% 7.4%
Kate Maner 1.7% 2.4% 3.9% 4.5% 6.6% 9.0% 10.4% 14.2% 21.9% 25.4%
Skye Carlson 1.0% 1.4% 2.6% 3.3% 4.1% 4.1% 6.8% 12.2% 17.9% 46.6%
Madeline Mulligan 2.2% 4.7% 6.7% 7.5% 8.0% 11.3% 12.8% 17.8% 18.6% 10.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.