Race 2B

saisa-maisa-sailpack-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marian Frances Williams 55.4% 24.7% 10.8% 5.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 8.3% 10.6% 15.0% 15.8% 15.4% 14.2% 8.5% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0%
Megan Ploch 8.7% 14.8% 15.5% 14.0% 17.0% 12.2% 9.3% 5.5% 2.8% 0.2%
Carly Pedron 2.8% 6.6% 9.2% 11.5% 10.9% 13.4% 15.1% 13.5% 12.2% 4.8%
Mia Porter 11.9% 20.2% 17.5% 17.5% 13.9% 8.9% 5.0% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Keara Paquette 5.6% 10.0% 11.5% 11.4% 13.0% 13.5% 13.4% 10.6% 8.6% 2.4%
Madeline Mulligan 2.2% 3.0% 6.2% 8.4% 7.4% 13.0% 14.4% 17.3% 16.3% 11.8%
Katrina Bauermeister 2.7% 5.3% 8.0% 8.2% 9.8% 11.1% 14.8% 17.4% 14.3% 8.4%
Skye Carlson 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 3.2% 3.8% 4.7% 8.1% 10.9% 18.4% 46.0%
Kate Maner 1.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.2% 6.4% 8.4% 11.1% 13.7% 22.6% 25.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.