Race 3B

saisa-maisa-sailpack-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Megan Ploch 9.0% 16.2% 15.1% 16.1% 13.1% 12.6% 9.7% 4.5% 3.0% 0.7%
Carrie Marshall 7.8% 10.5% 15.2% 16.8% 15.6% 11.3% 11.1% 6.7% 4.2% 0.8%
Carly Pedron 3.5% 5.7% 8.5% 9.2% 12.5% 12.7% 15.6% 15.6% 11.3% 5.4%
Marian Frances Williams 54.3% 26.7% 12.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mia Porter 12.9% 18.3% 19.2% 15.8% 14.2% 9.9% 5.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
Skye Carlson 1.2% 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 4.1% 5.1% 7.0% 10.2% 19.5% 44.7%
Katrina Bauermeister 2.1% 4.1% 6.2% 10.4% 8.9% 12.9% 14.8% 17.2% 15.0% 8.4%
Keara Paquette 5.1% 9.8% 10.7% 12.5% 14.2% 14.7% 12.8% 10.4% 6.4% 3.4%
Madeline Mulligan 2.4% 4.0% 6.7% 6.5% 10.0% 11.7% 12.5% 18.6% 17.2% 10.4%
Kate Maner 1.7% 2.6% 3.1% 4.8% 6.0% 8.8% 10.8% 14.5% 22.1% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.