Race 5B

saisa-maisa-sailpack-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Megan Ploch 10.0% 18.7% 15.5% 16.1% 12.7% 14.2% 6.8% 4.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Keara Paquette 5.8% 9.7% 11.5% 13.6% 14.8% 15.8% 13.6% 9.3% 4.4% 1.5%
Mia Porter 12.6% 18.3% 19.7% 18.3% 15.0% 8.9% 4.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Maddy Caruso 0.7% 1.2% 2.6% 3.4% 3.5% 5.0% 11.1% 15.2% 22.0% 35.3%
Kate Maner 2.3% 2.9% 5.1% 6.5% 7.8% 8.2% 12.5% 17.1% 21.2% 16.4%
Marian Frances Williams 57.2% 25.4% 12.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jenn Casey 5.9% 10.2% 16.5% 16.0% 18.3% 13.7% 9.5% 7.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Katrina Bauermeister 2.3% 6.8% 7.5% 10.3% 11.0% 15.1% 16.0% 14.5% 11.2% 5.3%
Skye Carlson 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 4.2% 3.8% 5.9% 10.3% 14.1% 23.0% 33.4%
Madeline Mulligan 2.0% 5.2% 7.0% 8.3% 11.7% 12.6% 15.4% 16.7% 14.3% 6.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.