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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.28+3.97vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+0.98vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.62+1.25vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.68+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.74-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+1.16vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-1.17+3.62vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.64-1.44vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.41-1.80vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut0.19-2.19vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.75+1.01vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-1.60-0.28vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.52-1.54vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-0.82-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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2.98Salve Regina University2.210.3%1st Place
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4.25Salve Regina University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.17Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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4.1University of New Hampshire1.740.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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10.62Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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6.56Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.2McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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12.01Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.72Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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11.46Rochester Institute of Technology-1.520.0%1st Place
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9.98Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Whitcraft | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 27.0% | 22.0% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Lawless | 14.4% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 13.7% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 13.6% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Baum | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 11.7% |
| Lillian Vincens | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Drezner | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Elson | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 16.6% | 22.7% | 32.6% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 22.0% | 27.1% |
| Chad Kratina | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 22.6% |
| Camille Britton | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.