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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.28+3.97vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.74+1.89vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+0.05vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.68+0.18vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.62-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19+1.84vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.41+0.02vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-1.17+2.74vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.88vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.64-3.33vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.75+1.00vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-1.60-0.30vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.52-1.56vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-0.82-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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3.89University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
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3.05Salve Regina University2.210.3%1st Place
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4.18Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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4.39Salve Regina University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.84University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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7.02McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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10.74Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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6.67Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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12.0Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.7Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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11.44Rochester Institute of Technology-1.520.0%1st Place
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10.0Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Whitcraft | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 17.5% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 27.7% | 20.1% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 13.6% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Lawless | 10.9% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Elson | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Drezner | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Baum | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 13.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lillian Vincens | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 25.0% | 31.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 27.4% |
| Chad Kratina | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 21.7% | 21.9% |
| Camille Britton | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 12.0% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.