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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+2.06vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.41+5.01vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.74+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut0.19+3.74vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.62-0.63vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.68-1.72vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.28-2.14vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-0.98vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.64-2.32vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.75+1.95vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College-1.17-0.08vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-1.52-0.46vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-0.82-3.01vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-1.60-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Salve Regina University2.210.3%1st Place
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7.01McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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4.0University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
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7.74University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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4.37Salve Regina University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.28Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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4.86Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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6.68Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.95Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
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10.92Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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11.54Rochester Institute of Technology-1.520.0%1st Place
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9.99Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.58Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 27.2% | 21.2% | 17.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| James Amaral | 15.7% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Elson | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Bridget Lawless | 11.4% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 14.3% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 33.2% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 13.2% |
| Chad Kratina | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 23.5% |
| Camille Britton | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 6.3% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 25.1% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.