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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago1.01+3.66vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.20+4.49vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.88+2.25vs Predicted
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4Indiana University1.19+0.39vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.80-0.10vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.31+2.13vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.21-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.17-0.29vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-0.62-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-0.57-1.32vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-0.71-2.16vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.85-0.51vs Predicted
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13Washington University0.67-7.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66University of Chicago1.0114.0%1st Place
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6.49Northwestern University0.207.3%1st Place
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5.25University of Saint Thomas0.8810.5%1st Place
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4.39Indiana University1.1916.4%1st Place
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4.9Purdue University0.8013.2%1st Place
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8.13Hope College-0.314.0%1st Place
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6.35Marquette University0.218.2%1st Place
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7.71University of Michigan-0.174.7%1st Place
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8.95Lake Forest College-0.622.5%1st Place
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8.68University of Wisconsin-0.573.3%1st Place
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8.84Michigan State University-0.713.7%1st Place
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11.49Northwestern University-1.851.0%1st Place
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5.16Washington University0.6711.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Zhalilo | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Crowell | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Greg Bittle | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 16.4% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Childers | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 5.7% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| John McCalmont | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 18.3% | 10.6% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 8.5% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 10.3% |
| Sean Bascoe | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 57.8% |
| Wyatt Tait | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.