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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+2.12vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.28+2.87vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.68+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.74+0.03vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.62-0.62vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.41+1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-0.14vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.19-0.34vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College-1.17+1.90vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.64-3.35vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.52+0.58vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-1.60-0.33vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-0.82-2.95vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.75-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Salve Regina University2.210.3%1st Place
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4.87Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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4.14Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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4.03University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
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4.38Salve Regina University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.24McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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10.9Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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6.65Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.58Rochester Institute of Technology-1.520.0%1st Place
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11.67Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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10.05Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.84Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 25.8% | 23.5% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 14.9% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 15.5% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Lawless | 11.0% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Noah Brayer | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Danielle Elson | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 13.7% |
| Lillian Vincens | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chad Kratina | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 24.0% | 23.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 21.2% | 26.1% |
| Camille Britton | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 20.3% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 6.9% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 22.5% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.