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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.28+4.01vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.62+2.14vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.68+1.15vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21-0.85vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.74-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+1.17vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.64-0.63vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.41-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.19-1.26vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College-1.17+0.90vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.52+0.60vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-0.82-1.88vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.75-1.13vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-1.60-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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4.14Salve Regina University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.15Fordham University1.680.2%1st Place
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3.15Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.13University of New Hampshire1.740.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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6.37Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.11McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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10.9Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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11.6Rochester Institute of Technology-1.520.0%1st Place
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10.12Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.87Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.57Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Whitcraft | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Lawless | 14.7% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 15.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 25.0% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 12.5% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Drezner | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Elson | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Baum | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 15.0% |
| Chad Kratina | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 23.5% | 22.3% |
| Camille Britton | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 7.1% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 22.2% | 31.1% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 22.8% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.