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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+2.07vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+4.94vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.68+1.13vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.28+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.74-0.89vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.62-1.61vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.64-0.64vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.41-0.86vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-1.52+2.56vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut0.19-2.20vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.82-0.84vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-1.60-0.33vs Predicted
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13Hamilton College-1.17-2.22vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.75-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Salve Regina University2.210.3%1st Place
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6.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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4.13Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.08Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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4.11University of New Hampshire1.740.1%1st Place
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4.39Salve Regina University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.36Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.14McGill University0.410.1%1st Place
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11.56Rochester Institute of Technology-1.520.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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10.16Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.67Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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10.78Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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11.82Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 27.0% | 23.0% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Cooper | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 13.5% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Lawless | 14.1% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Drezner | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Chad Kratina | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 21.3% | 23.8% |
| Danielle Elson | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Camille Britton | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 7.6% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 25.8% |
| Zachary Baum | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 13.3% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 23.6% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.