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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+2.11vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.41+5.12vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+4.17vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.28+1.17vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.68-0.71vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.64+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.74-3.09vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.62-3.70vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.82+1.31vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut0.19-2.10vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College-0.50-1.43vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-1.60-0.17vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.75-1.00vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.52-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Salve Regina University2.210.3%1st Place
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7.12McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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5.17Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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4.29Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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6.76Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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3.91University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
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4.3Salve Regina University1.620.1%1st Place
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10.31Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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9.57Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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11.83Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.0Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.56Rochester Institute of Technology-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 26.8% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Noah Brayer | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 7.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 13.5% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| James Amaral | 17.6% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Lawless | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Britton | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 7.9% |
| Danielle Elson | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| James Reynolds | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 3.8% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 28.8% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 35.5% |
| Chad Kratina | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 24.6% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.