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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+2.93vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.11+4.88vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.56+2.33vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39-0.47vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.10-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+1.98vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49+0.81vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.64+0.40vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.90+0.14vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.48-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.23-7.09vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-1.92-0.60vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-1.97-1.58vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-2.93-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Fordham University1.170.2%1st Place
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6.88Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.33Hamilton College0.560.1%1st Place
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3.53Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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4.18Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.81Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.4McGill University-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.14Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.91University of New Hampshire1.230.2%1st Place
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11.4Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
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11.42Sacred Heart University-1.970.0%1st Place
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12.9Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 16.4% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 20.9% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 13.1% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Kathryn McCracken | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Robert Kelley | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Martin Hooker | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Borovick | 19.1% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 19.8% | 28.2% | 16.4% |
| Kayla Kanakry | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 20.2% | 26.3% | 19.0% |
| Mika Braun | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 19.7% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.