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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+2.47vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.56+3.22vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.17+0.97vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.64+4.47vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.10-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+1.93vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.23-3.35vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.11-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.48-0.85vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-1.84vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-2.93+1.97vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-1.97-0.55vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-0.90-3.96vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-1.92-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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5.22Hamilton College0.560.1%1st Place
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3.97Fordham University1.170.2%1st Place
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8.47McGill University-0.640.0%1st Place
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4.25Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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3.65University of New Hampshire1.230.2%1st Place
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6.98Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.16Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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12.97Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
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11.45Sacred Heart University-1.970.0%1st Place
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9.04Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.29Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 21.4% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 8.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 16.0% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn McCracken | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 13.0% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Borovick | 19.0% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Martin Hooker | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Mika Braun | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 61.9% |
| Kayla Kanakry | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 19.9% | 28.9% | 16.7% |
| Robert Kelley | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 19.4% | 28.6% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.