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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.23+2.80vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+1.44vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.17+0.94vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.56+1.35vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.10-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+2.01vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11-0.16vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49+0.01vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.64-0.47vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-1.97+1.56vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.90-1.81vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-1.92-0.62vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-2.93-0.16vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.48-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of New Hampshire1.230.2%1st Place
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3.44Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.94Fordham University1.170.2%1st Place
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5.35Hamilton College0.560.1%1st Place
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4.22Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.84Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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8.01Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.53McGill University-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.56Sacred Heart University-1.970.0%1st Place
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9.19Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.38Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
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12.84Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Borovick | 17.5% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 22.7% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 16.6% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 12.5% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Kathryn McCracken | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Kayla Kanakry | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 29.5% | 18.2% |
| Robert Kelley | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 20.5% | 25.7% | 17.4% |
| Mika Braun | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 58.7% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.