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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+2.94vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.23+0.80vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49+4.12vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.11+2.17vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.56-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+0.59vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.64+0.36vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.10-4.84vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.48-1.87vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.90-1.81vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-1.92-0.60vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-1.97-1.64vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-2.93-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Fordham University1.170.2%1st Place
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3.4Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.8University of New Hampshire1.230.2%1st Place
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8.12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.17Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.5Hamilton College0.560.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.36McGill University-0.640.0%1st Place
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4.16Salve Regina University1.100.2%1st Place
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8.13University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.19Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.4Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
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11.36Sacred Heart University-1.970.0%1st Place
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12.87Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 16.1% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 21.2% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Borovick | 19.3% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Kathryn McCracken | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 15.1% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Robert Kelley | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 20.1% | 27.6% | 16.3% |
| Kayla Kanakry | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 26.5% | 18.6% |
| Mika Braun | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 18.2% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.