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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.23+1.87vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.11+4.41vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.17+0.20vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.56+0.70vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.10-1.60vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.48+1.25vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.64+0.82vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-0.67vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.06-2.61vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.90-1.36vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-3.49vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-1.97-1.24vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-2.93-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.87University of New Hampshire1.230.2%1st Place
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7.41Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.2Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.7Hamilton College0.560.1%1st Place
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4.4Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.82McGill University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.39Fairfield University-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.64Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.51Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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11.76Sacred Heart University-1.970.0%1st Place
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13.1Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 20.1% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Borovick | 18.6% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 13.9% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 15.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Hooker | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Kathryn McCracken | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Davis Doherty | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Kelley | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 3.7% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Kayla Kanakry | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 35.5% | 23.2% |
| Mika Braun | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 17.6% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.