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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago1.01+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.88+3.09vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.19+1.40vs Predicted
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4Washington University0.67+1.25vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.21+1.54vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.80-1.09vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.20-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.17-0.35vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-0.57-0.26vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.31-2.03vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-0.71-2.05vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.85-0.52vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-0.62-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62University of Chicago1.0113.9%1st Place
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5.09University of Saint Thomas0.8812.0%1st Place
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4.4Indiana University1.1916.1%1st Place
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5.25Washington University0.6711.1%1st Place
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6.54Marquette University0.217.2%1st Place
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4.91Purdue University0.8011.1%1st Place
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6.7Northwestern University0.207.9%1st Place
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7.65University of Michigan-0.174.5%1st Place
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8.74University of Wisconsin-0.573.3%1st Place
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7.97Hope College-0.314.4%1st Place
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8.95Michigan State University-0.713.5%1st Place
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11.48Northwestern University-1.851.1%1st Place
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8.69Lake Forest College-0.624.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Zhalilo | 13.9% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nithya Balachander | 16.1% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Tait | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Sam Childers | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charles Crowell | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| John McCalmont | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 9.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 5.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 9.3% |
| Sean Bascoe | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 60.0% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.