← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.39+2.64vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire1.23+1.87vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.10+1.25vs Predicted
-
4Hamilton College0.56+1.62vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.17-0.73vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+2.40vs Predicted
-
7McGill University-0.64+1.67vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut-0.48+0.41vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-0.90+0.57vs Predicted
-
10Bates College-0.11-2.47vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University-0.06-3.61vs Predicted
-
12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-3.49vs Predicted
-
13Sacred Heart University-1.97-1.24vs Predicted
-
14Wesleyan University-2.93-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.64Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
-
3.87University of New Hampshire1.230.2%1st Place
-
4.25Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
-
5.62Hamilton College0.560.1%1st Place
-
4.27Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
-
8.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
-
8.67McGill University-0.640.0%1st Place
-
8.41University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
-
9.57Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
-
7.53Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
-
7.39Fairfield University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
8.51Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
-
11.76Sacred Heart University-1.970.0%1st Place
-
13.11Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 20.4% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Borovick | 19.1% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 15.0% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 13.8% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Kathryn McCracken | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Martin Hooker | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Robert Kelley | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 3.9% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Davis Doherty | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| Kayla Kanakry | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 35.8% | 23.0% |
| Mika Braun | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 18.6% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.