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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+3.12vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.10+2.18vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.23+0.04vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.56+0.79vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.06+1.46vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11+0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.48+0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-0.64vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-1.97+1.87vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-2.45vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-2.93+1.16vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-0.90-3.52vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.64-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Fordham University1.170.2%1st Place
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4.18Salve Regina University1.100.2%1st Place
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3.63Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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4.04University of New Hampshire1.230.2%1st Place
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5.79Hamilton College0.560.1%1st Place
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7.46Fairfield University-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.22Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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11.87Sacred Heart University-1.970.0%1st Place
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8.55Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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13.16Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
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9.48Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.73McGill University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 15.9% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 15.6% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 20.6% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Borovick | 16.0% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Davis Doherty | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Martin Hooker | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Kayla Kanakry | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 37.6% | 22.8% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Mika Braun | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 17.4% | 67.3% |
| Robert Kelley | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 11.8% | 3.8% |
| Kathryn McCracken | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.