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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+7.36vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.22+9.56vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.78vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+7.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+0.65vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.28vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+0.74vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86+2.88vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-0.35vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-4.91vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.59+0.44vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-4.14vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.51-1.10vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-6.83vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.20-9.54vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.58-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.88Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.09Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.44University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.9University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.46Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.7% |
| Camille Matile | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 18.0% | 21.4% |
| Charlotte List | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 27.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.