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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.99vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+6.72vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+4.09vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.51+9.21vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+4.56vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+0.61vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20+0.01vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-0.30vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.59+4.16vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-3.56vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-0.78vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-2.62vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-6.52vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.97vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-5.58vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.86-3.86vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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13.21University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.61Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.01Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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13.16University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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6.44Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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12.14Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 29.5% |
| Charlotte List | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 25.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Camille Matile | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 14.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.