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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.58+8.16vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+4.27vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.82vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.41+6.15vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.22+5.59vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+3.98vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+1.72vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-1.01vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-1.76vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-3.58vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-1.39vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86+0.11vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.59+0.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-7.78vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.51-1.75vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.99-8.14vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.35-10.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.98Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.99Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.42Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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12.11Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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13.08University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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7.86Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Bakos | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Camille Matile | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% |
| Charlotte List | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 15.4% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 24.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 27.9% |
| Emma White | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.