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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+4.32vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+4.79vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.51+9.24vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.22+4.98vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20+0.05vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+1.56vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86+3.30vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-0.73vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-3.79vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-3.27vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.02vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-4.39vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.59-2.07vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-5.87vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-10.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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13.24University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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6.29Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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12.3Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.27George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.21Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.73Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.93University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.13Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 29.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 7.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 15.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 24.2% |
| Camille Matile | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.3% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.