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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.86vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+4.22vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+6.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+2.64vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+4.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+2.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.87vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-1.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.73vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-1.40vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.51+2.25vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.18-4.88vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-0.78vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-0.92vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-5.57vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-5.74vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.64Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.6Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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12.22Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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13.08University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.43George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Emma White | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 17.9% | 28.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 16.1% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 25.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Camille Matile | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.