← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.33+5.31vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.41+8.05vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.99+4.80vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.11vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.49+4.54vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.20+1.21vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.75+1.71vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.58+1.21vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.10vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.86+2.09vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.37-4.43vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.58-2.60vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.59+0.11vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.18-6.81vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.20vs Predicted
-
16Boston University3.35-9.50vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin1.51-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.31Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
10.05Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
-
7.8Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
9.54Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.21Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.71Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.21University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
12.09Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
6.57University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.4George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
13.11University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
-
7.19Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
10.8University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
-
6.5Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
13.29University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Camille Matile | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Emma White | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.8% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 14.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 25.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.