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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nithya Balachander 16.7% 14.6% 14.3% 11.8% 10.8% 9.0% 7.6% 7.0% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Sam Childers 12.8% 12.2% 14.1% 12.3% 11.2% 9.8% 7.8% 6.9% 5.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
John McCalmont 5.2% 5.0% 5.5% 6.2% 6.6% 7.6% 7.6% 8.6% 10.5% 11.8% 11.8% 10.0% 3.5%
Greg Bittle 10.9% 12.6% 11.5% 12.5% 10.8% 10.0% 10.2% 7.0% 6.2% 4.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.4%
Max Zhalilo 14.8% 15.3% 12.3% 11.2% 10.3% 10.2% 8.9% 6.9% 4.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Brian Zettlemoyer 7.3% 7.0% 7.2% 8.9% 8.6% 8.5% 11.3% 10.2% 10.4% 7.4% 6.0% 5.1% 1.9%
Phoebe Milhollin 3.0% 3.0% 4.3% 4.1% 4.9% 5.9% 6.2% 8.1% 9.7% 12.5% 13.6% 15.8% 8.8%
Charles Crowell 7.0% 6.9% 7.3% 6.6% 8.9% 8.6% 9.2% 10.2% 11.5% 10.0% 7.6% 4.6% 1.7%
Caroline Henry 4.6% 4.0% 4.7% 4.7% 4.9% 6.8% 7.5% 8.7% 11.8% 12.1% 13.6% 11.2% 5.5%
Wyatt Tait 10.9% 12.2% 11.2% 11.2% 12.4% 10.2% 9.0% 8.4% 6.3% 4.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Joey Skerbeck 2.7% 3.1% 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 6.0% 5.7% 7.0% 7.7% 11.4% 14.6% 18.9% 11.6%
Andrea Casagrande Caron 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 4.6% 5.1% 5.8% 6.9% 8.0% 9.2% 11.8% 14.2% 15.2% 9.5%
Sean Bascoe 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.3% 4.9% 8.1% 14.8% 56.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.