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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+3.32vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.80+2.83vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.17+4.65vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.88+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago1.01-0.44vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.21+0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.57+1.73vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.20-1.26vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.31-0.85vs Predicted
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10Washington University0.67-4.89vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-0.71-1.91vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-0.62-3.26vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.85-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Indiana University1.1916.7%1st Place
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4.83Purdue University0.8012.8%1st Place
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7.65University of Michigan-0.175.2%1st Place
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5.06University of Saint Thomas0.8810.9%1st Place
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4.56University of Chicago1.0114.8%1st Place
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6.55Marquette University0.217.3%1st Place
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8.73University of Wisconsin-0.573.0%1st Place
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6.74Northwestern University0.207.0%1st Place
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8.15Hope College-0.314.6%1st Place
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5.11Washington University0.6710.9%1st Place
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9.09Michigan State University-0.712.7%1st Place
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8.74Lake Forest College-0.622.9%1st Place
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11.46Northwestern University-1.851.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nithya Balachander | 16.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Sam Childers | 12.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
John McCalmont | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
Greg Bittle | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Max Zhalilo | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
Phoebe Milhollin | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 8.8% |
Charles Crowell | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
Caroline Henry | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
Wyatt Tait | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Joey Skerbeck | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 18.9% | 11.6% |
Andrea Casagrande Caron | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 9.5% |
Sean Bascoe | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.